Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.762865 3.307276 3.916430 4.646419 5.495202 6.448676 7.598448
2025-11-09 1.890268 2.553961 3.376855 4.463645 5.851630 7.554434 9.789689
2025-11-16 1.432751 2.142386 3.100111 4.468418 6.350717 8.823333 12.285964
2025-11-23 1.130609 1.847479 2.888589 4.478770 6.806264 10.040293 14.812744
2025-11-30 0.902725 1.599592 2.680947 4.433671 7.142304 11.093031 17.189787
2025-12-07 0.698894 1.339633 2.399141 4.215717 7.169041 11.673716 18.914858
2025-12-14 0.576296 1.186290 2.254250 4.178897 7.450033 12.636623 21.271143
2025-12-21 0.483049 1.063929 2.136994 4.162449 7.748218 13.637601 23.756796
2025-12-28 0.441888 1.031467 2.171522 4.408966 8.507088 15.437002 27.656960
2026-01-04 0.391472 0.969131 2.138596 4.524511 9.043616 16.906421 31.125528
2026-01-11 0.355999 0.930855 2.144985 4.711413 9.722461 18.667801 35.213711
2026-01-18 0.308348 0.854705 2.061544 4.709210 10.044987 19.825878 38.341527
2026-01-25 0.253143 0.749297 1.901424 4.535026 10.029427 20.395421 40.516221
2026-02-01 0.208084 0.657978 1.756052 4.369872 10.010702 20.954531 42.715982
2026-02-08 0.181088 0.607519 1.695399 4.378869 10.343438 22.198760 46.267841
2026-02-15 0.158188 0.562580 1.639824 4.390393 10.680058 23.473924 49.966861
2026-02-22 0.136019 0.513749 1.565468 4.346510 10.890001 24.511411 53.278046
2026-03-01 0.110349 0.446295 1.429413 4.132513 10.696637 24.712523 54.955383
2026-03-08 0.095314 0.409285 1.368637 4.096381 10.901139 25.746985 58.366653
2026-03-15 0.083060 0.378207 1.318622 4.080235 11.149016 26.889489 62.072904
2026-03-22 0.079757 0.379276 1.363451 4.322429 12.039014 29.477454 68.939683
2026-03-29 0.073140 0.365660 1.361292 4.435956 12.625228 31.442086 74.617015
2026-04-05 0.068812 0.360020 1.383182 4.619604 13.403380 33.886242 81.462759